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1576 Blue Hill Ave — LIHTC Pro Forma

A full 4% Low-Income Housing Tax Credit development pro forma for a proposed 51-unit mixed-income affordable housing project on the Blue Hill Avenue corridor in Mattapan, Boston. Built entirely from scratch as an independent work sample.

TypeFinancial Model / Work Sample
ContextMixed-Income Development Course
RoleSole Author
Year2025
Total Development Cost $25.8M $615K per residential unit
Unit Count 51 Mixed-income, 30%–80% AMI + PBV
Year 1 DSCR 1.148x Against HUD 221(d)(4) first mortgage
Capital Sources 8 Federal & state LIHTC, HUD debt, 6 soft programs
Architectural render of 1576 Blue Hill Ave, Mattapan

Conceptual architectural render generated using ChatGPT DALL-E. Not an actual design proposal.

Overview

This model was built entirely from scratch in Excel across eight interconnected worksheets. It covers the full LIHTC development finance workflow: credit pricing, tax-exempt bond sizing, multi-source capital stacking, construction cash flows, and a 23-year long-term operating projection.

The project targets low-income households who earn too much to qualify for deeply subsidized housing but too little to afford rising market rents. It is structured to meet the financing, regulatory, and income-mixing requirements of the Massachusetts Qualified Allocation Plan and the HUD 221(d)(4) mortgage program.

Explore the Model

The full working model is embedded below. Use the sheet tabs at the bottom to browse all eight worksheets, or download the Excel file to inspect formulas and assumptions directly.

Capital Stack

SourceAmount% of TotalNotes
Federal LIHTC Equity$11,205,26243.4%4% credits at $0.90/credit
State LIHTC Equity$2,179,0198.4%State credits at $0.70/credit
HUD 1st Mortgage$7,190,00027.8%221(d)(4), 6.75%, 40-yr amort
Soft Debt (Local/State)$2,992,97611.6%HSF, CBH, HOME, CPA, CEDAC
FHLB AHP + MassHousing$1,141,0434.4%AHP grant + AHTF
Deferred Developer Fee$1,121,7524.3%From total $2.53M fee
Total$25,830,052100%

Long-Term Operating Performance

YearRevenueNOIDSCRCash Flow
Year 1$1,175,131$601,4991.148x$77,769
Year 5$1,272,000$626,3731.196x$102,643
Year 10$1,376,853$650,1931.241x$126,463
Year 15$1,550,560$682,8911.304x$159,161
Year 23$1,816,728$717,5911.370x$193,861

Revenue grows at 2% annually. Expenses are trended by category. Debt service is fixed for the 40-year HUD term, resulting in steadily improving debt service coverage over the hold period.

What the Model Covers

The eight worksheets span the complete LIHTC development finance workflow: program design with AMI-band unit mix allocations, a Year 1 operating budget with income averaging compliance, a full permanent and construction sources and uses, LIHTC eligible and qualified basis calculations with DDA boost, a 28-month construction draw schedule, and the 23-year long-term operating projection shown above.

The model reflects a realistic Boston-specific soft debt stack drawing from six public programs: the Housing Stabilization Fund, Community Based Housing program, Boston HOME, Community Preservation Act, Massachusetts HOME, and CEDAC. This multi-layered capital structure is standard for Boston affordable housing and reflects working knowledge of the city and state subsidy landscape.

Technical Approach

The project uses a 4% federal LIHTC structure paired with a HUD-insured tax-exempt permanent mortgage under Section 221(d)(4). The first mortgage serves as the qualifying tax-exempt bond financing, meeting the requirement that at least 50% of eligible basis be financed with tax-exempt bonds. Rather than using a single AMI threshold, the project elects income averaging, allowing a mix of AMI levels (30%–80%) as long as the weighted average does not exceed 60%. The model calculates a weighted average of 49.4%.

The first mortgage is sized based on a 1.15x DSCR constraint against Year 1 NOI using the mortgage constant derived from a 6.75% interest rate and 40-year amortization. HUD MIP is properly accounted for in both the operating budget and the development cost budget. The project qualifies for a 1.30x Difficult Development Area basis boost, increasing the qualified basis from $23.9M to $31.1M — a critical tool for making the economics work in high-cost Boston.

Skills Demonstrated

LIHTC Credit Calculation Tax-Exempt Bond Structure Multi-Source Capital Stacking Income Averaging Affordable Housing Operating Budgets 23-Year Pro Forma Trending Construction Cash Flow Scheduling HUD Underwriting Conventions Regulatory Compliance Tracking
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